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Old 03-23-2017, 09:59 AM   #1
NotJLB
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Lake Levels

02-06-2017, 08:46 AM #1
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Lake Levels
06FEB2017 0800 906.88

Here is the history of the low and high lake levels every year up until 2014.

http://www.swl.usace.army.mil/Portal...k%20%20(3).pdf

Albeit proper to warn of the low lake level right now, in 37 of those 56 years, the lowest level for the year was lower than it is now.

After filling, the lowest lake level in history was yesterday in 1965.

02/05/1965 881.54

Here's another low reading on this date in February that we remember well:

02/06/2000 899.96

The overwhelming majority of the lowest lake levels were in Winter months, December-March.

So, where the lake's at now is fairly natural. It's common for it to be lower this time of year than it is now.

It should be mentioned that in the voluminous discussions we had here during the floods, some chided the Corps for not drawing down the lake prior to the Spring rains, something that seems to have been the case more so in recent years than over the history of the lake. So, conversely, I will praise them for doing so this year.

As was documented every two or three days in the previous lake thread, this drawdown has been gradual, consistent, and predictable, exactly what anyone having to tend a dock would want.

Quote:
Originally Posted by notjlb View Post
25oct2016 0900 911.21
23nov2016 1900 910.21
26nov2016 0800 909.92
01dec2016 1400 909.56
07dec2016 0600 908.85
12dec2016 1100 908.05
17dec2016 1800 907.72
23dec2016 1800 907.50
19jan2017 0600 907.37
- - - - - -
Given the danger of having the lake too high before the Spring rains arrive, if the choices for this time of year were 915, 906, or 900, I like 906.

Last edited by NotJLB; 06-16-2017 at 06:17 AM. Reason: Inaccurate Topic Header
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Old 03-25-2017, 07:39 AM   #2
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Over 2 inches of rain here overnight and this morning so she should be "on the rise". Plenty of run-off this time...it came down hard and long.
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Old 03-25-2017, 11:42 AM   #3
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Storm Total Precipitation
NWS Springfield, MO Radar Precip Est From 09:16 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017
to 12:27 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?...101111&loop=no

Every area in the Springfield NWS radar sweep show some precip in the above timeframe.

All of Taney, Stone, and Douglas County, and most of Barry County, and the three neighboring AR Counties, had 1.5-2 inches. The heaviest was up around LOTO, 2-2.5 inches.

This explains why it's continuing to rise, and will for another day or so. Going up about a foot a day right now.
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Old 03-27-2017, 10:30 AM   #4
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More coming mid-week
Quote:
Tuesday Night:
Showers likely after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Wednesday:
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night:
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then showers likely. Low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Thursday:
Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 67. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Thursday Night A chance of showers before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
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Old 03-28-2017, 10:12 AM   #5
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NotJLB, between golf, fishing, and enjoying the sunshine, an interesting study for you to think about would be lake levels, and weather comparisons.
Kinda believe in the majority of those low water times there was also a more severe, colder winter. Requiring more electricity generation thus removing water from the lake. Also, in the worst cases I would think that cold, dry, Winters were experienced.
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Old 03-28-2017, 01:08 PM   #6
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We have hit 910 ft, woohoo!!!
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Old 03-28-2017, 01:47 PM   #7
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Quote:
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We have hit 910 ft, woohoo!!!
910 is a nice milestone, but all the years back to 2014 , we were at or over 915 on this date. I'm sure we will get there...sometime.
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Old 03-28-2017, 02:46 PM   #8
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Quote:
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We have hit 910 ft, woohoo!!!
04-15-2011, 05:12 PM
Table Rock 15 APR 16:00 913.01

04-27-2011, 06:59 AM
27APR2011 0700 935.03

So, I'm good with 910, or a little lower, to have more cushion.
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Old 04-04-2017, 11:00 PM   #9
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Also have water being released and that's a variable too. I have to say that seeing Table Rock almost top the gates was remarkable. What a sight to see all the gates open at the same time. Never say never I guess is the lesson.
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Old 04-06-2017, 07:09 AM   #10
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For those who like to watch the lakes:

Beaver Lake:

http://www.swl-wc.usace.army.mil/pag...htm/beaver.htm

Table Rock Lake:

http://www.swl-wc.usace.army.mil/pag...tm/tabrock.htm

Bull Shoals Lake:

http://www.swl-wc.usace.army.mil/pag...tm/bulsdam.htm

James River at Springfield:

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/usa/nwis/uv?07050700

James River at Galena:

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?07052500
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Old 04-11-2017, 11:11 AM   #11
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SO my question is WHERE do you like to see the lake level at? Seems like it goes up and down a lot which is what it was designed for but what is best for area owners etc.
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Old 04-11-2017, 11:48 AM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by joseywales2 View Post
so my question is where do you like to see the lake level at? Seems like it goes up and down a lot which is what it was designed for but what is best for area owners etc.
912-915
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Old 04-11-2017, 12:21 PM   #13
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Quote:
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912-915
Yes, it is good right now.
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Old 04-11-2017, 05:06 PM   #14
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Quote:
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SO my question is WHERE do you like to see the lake level at? Seems like it goes up and down a lot which is what it was designed for but what is best for area owners etc.
For ease of safe access in some of the coves we like, I'll take 915 and would be happy up to 916. We don't launch that often, but it sure is easier at 916 or even more. Talking about state park.
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Old 04-14-2017, 09:53 AM   #15
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Here's an interesting figure, one I don't believe anyone here has ever talked about (which seems hard to believe since we talk about everything ):

Bottom Power Pool: 881.0

I have not been able to find a definition of Bottom Power Pool, so I'm going with the lowest level at which the lake can provide power generation.

Table Rock Lake provides a storage capacity of 3,462,000 acre-feet, of which 760,000 are for flood-control and 2,702,000 are for generation of power. The flood control storage is equivalent to a depth of 3.5 inches of water over the entire contributing drainage area above the dam, 4020 square miles. At the top of flood control pool the lake has a surface area of 52,300 acres and a shoreline of 857 miles. The full conservation pool covers an area of 43,100 acres and has a shoreline of 745 miles.
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