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Old 04-21-2017, 08:24 AM   #31
NotJLB
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Because of earlier rain saturating the ground, it's pretty much 100% runoff, so, here we go:

21APR2017 0900 913.16
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Old 04-21-2017, 01:09 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NotJLB View Post
Because of earlier rain saturating the ground, it's pretty much 100% runoff, so, here we go:

21APR2017 0900 913.16
Yep, about an inch an hour over last 5 hours

Last edited by jap114; 04-21-2017 at 02:23 PM. Reason: updated for 2 more hours of rising water!
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Old 04-21-2017, 02:47 PM   #33
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The James River at Galena has been up for four days, and is really up today.

Guess where it's going?

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Old 04-21-2017, 05:27 PM   #34
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More of the same same time next week.

Seems like I remember this before this time year.

Broke the old record all to heck: 27APR2011 0700 935.03

05-02-2011, 08:42 AM #62
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1.2 inches in the rain gauge this morning.

19 inches in 12 days.
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Old 04-22-2017, 10:22 AM   #35
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The entire area for about 80 miles around Branson got at least 1.5" yesterday and last night, and a lot of it 5". That's a lot of water yet to get here.

22APR2017 1100 916.12



Man what a yucky few days . . . but, tournament boats were running up the lake at 7:00 this morning.

I just hate it when it's very windy, 45°, and moving docks requires chest waders!



The next warm day would be a great time to go around the lake and pick stuff up off the banks. . . . No Wake Buoys, fenders, dock foam, chairs, etc.

Last edited by NotJLB; 04-22-2017 at 11:03 AM.
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Old 04-22-2017, 01:59 PM   #36
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The James River at Springfield was 3 feet above flood stage yesterday, and is now back down to right at flood stage.

At Galena it just hit flood stage, and is still going up.
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Old 04-24-2017, 09:05 AM   #37
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918.27 with a full four units running since Noon yesterday when the level was 918.07. So creeping up a bit even with a bit over 13K cfs discharging through the turbines.
Looks like I might be getting my wish for next week. Sorry NotJLB, I know my wish is your nightmare.
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Old 04-24-2017, 01:42 PM   #38
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Yup, with a heavy release it has been reversed:

24APR2017 1300 918.26
24APR2017 1400 918.24

at about 10 feet too high for this time of year.

More storms in a couple days.

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Old 04-26-2017, 12:56 PM   #39
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http://www.ozarksfirst.com/news/tabl...h-water-debris

If that is current, we have a low water warning and a high water warning on this forum at the same time.

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Old 04-26-2017, 01:58 PM   #40
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NotJLB View Post
http://www.ozarksfirst.com/news/tabl...h-water-debris

If that is current, we have a low water warning and a high water warning on this forum at the same time.

Where's the low water warning? Wasn't that a month or so ago?
Your link is for high water, and debris in the water.

Quote:
We're screwed.
Not necessarily. Didn't it take 13" of rain in six day in 2011 to bring serious flooding? Isn't the NWS forecast, including today's rain 6 1/2" total through the weekend?
They have the gates open some. Five gates enough to make up for the one unit that is down. So in reality, they aren't even dumping water any more than generating four units. They have a few more inches of the five gates, and some on the other five before things bet bad below the dam. So they still have discharge room without major flooding.
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Old 04-26-2017, 02:38 PM   #41
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WARNING: Falling Lake Levels Prompt Corps To Urge Caution
TheOleSeagull
02-04-2017 08:02 AM
by billj598 Go to last post
- - - - - -

"We're screwed" is a prediction, much like "918" was a prediction when it was 915.67, two days before it was 918.

Given what's in Beaver and what's coming down the James and up the Kings, and given this is not the big one, it'll start tomorrow or Friday, I'll stick with "we're screwed", say before May 1.

It's really pretty simple . . . you add what's coming from Beaver, Kings and James, and subtract what's being released. That's not even taking into account the many smaller sources, like the ditch in front of our house and the three "dry" creeks foaming into our cove right now, and all the other ditches and "dry" creeks over 800 miles of shoreline.

Only not getting an Act of God/Nature can change that.

It's too late
She's gone too far
She's lost the sun
She's come undone

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Old 04-26-2017, 05:22 PM   #42
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I'd be happy to be wrong. It would be best for everyone if I am.

But, Ron Hearst just said 5.9" on top of what we've already had.

& that's not counting what's already forecast for next week.

Last edited by NotJLB; 04-26-2017 at 05:31 PM.
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Old 04-27-2017, 07:00 AM   #43
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27APR2017 0700 918.82

and rising a foot every 10 hours.

Right now there's 43,800 cfs coming in from just the Kings and the James, plus a bit more from Beaver, and TRL release is 10,000 cfs.

so . . . .

Last edited by NotJLB; 04-27-2017 at 07:08 AM.
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Old 04-27-2017, 11:28 AM   #44
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Beaver Lake will likely be the first problem. The amount being released into TRL is not enough to stop Beaver from rising, and it is less than 4 feet from flood stage. Plus, the heaviest rainfall, up to 8", is predicted for that watershed.

Right now the James is still flowing into TRL at twice the amount of release, and the Kings at 1 1/2 times the release.

Today I'm busy with post-storm clean-up/pre-storm prep. Nice day to do it.
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Old 04-28-2017, 07:59 AM   #45
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The first round tracked north and had more bark than bite. Less than 1".
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